Published 7:11 AM, 3 Jan 2011
While the new Republican majority in the House of Representatives guarantees tough times ahead, a roadmap has emerged from the past eight weeks that sets Obama on a discernible path to re-election.
Published 7:51 AM, 29 Dec 2010
Last week, I took stock of the Barack Obama’s potential Republican rivals as focus inexorably shifts to the 2012 US Presidential election. (See Inside the Republicans’ race to the right, December 22.) Today, I will tackle the obvious next question: how vulnerable is President Barack Obama?
COMMENTARY:The steady rise of the Tea Party will create tensions for Republicans in the lead-up to the US presidential election – their choice of candidate is by no means clear cut.
22 Dec 2010 6:57 AM
COMMENTARY:To many, Obama’s tax deal with Republicans neatly symbolises his leadership woes – too eager to deal with his enemies, but not canny or hard-nosed enough to prevail.
10 Dec 2010 6:07 AM
COMMENTARY:Following the outcome of the Victorian election, Labor now faces the task of catering to the growing conservative voting bloc in Melbourne’s outer suburbs without being pulled too far to the right.
29 Nov 2010 10:37 AM
COMMENTARY:The Liberal Party’s decision to preference the ALP ahead of the resurgent Greens in the Victorian election turned out to be a masterstroke – and it was Ted Baillieu’s decision.
29 Nov 2010 6:43 AM
COMMENTARY:Ted Baillieu is breathing down John Brumby’s neck ahead of this weekend’s Victorian state election, but there are five key factors that are likely to deliver a Brumby government victory.
25 Nov 2010 10:18 AM
COMMENTARY:While the Victorian Liberals’ surprise preference decision will play a role in their likely defeat at the polls, the party’s woes are etched far deeper into Ted Baillieu’s leadership style.
17 Nov 2010 6:24 AM
COMMENTARY:The outcome of the US mid-term elections will trigger a series of policy fights with profound political consequences for 2012 and beyond.
5 Nov 2010 6:12 AM
COMMENTARY:The Democrats will spend little time mourning their losses at the mid-term elections because as Bill Clinton learned, ceding control of Congress is much worse in theory than in practice.
27 Oct 2010 6:27 AM
August 23, 2004