Palin: Run, Win, Lose REDUX
I wrote a post back in the early days about why I thought Sarah Palin was already running for President:
The prospect of a Sarah Palin Presidency so offends mainstream sensibility that a convenient consensus has emerged that the former Alaska Governor will not contest the 2012 Republican nomination. To think otherwise seems impolite. But this is wish thinking on a grand scale, and the question itself — will she or won’t she? — is quaint and daft. Not only is Palin running, she is running ahead and she is more likely than not to win the nomination that allows her to take on Barack Obama.
If anyone was reading my blog back then, they may have said “Bullshit!” which I feel was the mainstream sentiment about Palin and the Presidency at the time. Probably still is. But John Heilemann’s piece in the New York magazine today will put a dent in that particular meme. It is epic and well worth a read. Here it is.
Among two dozen senior strategists and operatives with whom I’ve spoken in recent days—including many of those responsible for securing the nomination for the party’s last three standard-bearers—there is a growing consensus that Palin is running or setting herself up to run. All agreed that her entry would radically and fundamentally transform the race. Most averred that if she steps into the fray, she stands a reasonable chance of claiming the Republican prize. Indeed, more than one argued that she is already the de facto front-runner.
Yes, I know. Even a stopped clock is right twice a day.
Heilemann engages in some hypothetical postulating about Mike Bloomberg, NYC Mayor, running as a third-party candidate. Junkie fodder, but worth noting.